Education
How to Read Predictive Signals without Overreacting
April 18, 2024
Signals are inputs, not commands. Here is a routine that keeps you centered.
Pause first
When a new card arrives, start by reviewing its drivers, not the headline action.
Look for alignment between probability, risk score and timeframe.
- Note why the signal exists
- Compare with your plan
Decide deliberately
Use the checklist area to document action, size and invalidation before you execute.
Treat every miss as feedback for the model + human pair.